When the market went back up, not accurate. I could not successfully use the intraday forecasts to day trade. I spent many hours tracking them, and they were around 50-55% , not enough to trust my money on. The latter two are excellent analysis/advisory. The STU is only published Mon/Wed/Fri so you can’t use it for trading. The problem with Elliot Waves in general is that there is always an alternate view. The top alternate view is that the market will go down.
The newsletter has guided me into several counter-intuitive moves — including the rally from 2003 to 2006, the Fall/2007 top and the renewed decline in early 2008. Remember that in early 2008, the consensus was for a shallow recession and everyone was picking a bottom in January and March 2008.
More Housing Inventory is Coming: 850,000 Borrowers Will Exit Forbearance Between August and October.
You have to understand that people like Daneric aren’t concerned about making money TRADING because they have a “day” job and don’t trade. (He’s only interested in claiming the notoriety Danerics Elliott Waves of being able to say that he caught P3 and warned everyone about it). It’s clear to anyone that has witnessed their “posts” over time that they don’t have much skin in the game at all.
- Avi is an accountant and a lawyer by training.
- I have been using IBD and Vectorvest timing systems.
- Avi emphasizes a comprehensive reading of charts and wave counts that is free of personal bias or predisposition.
- Learn how Elliott wave analysis can put the cryptocurrency’s price action into perspective.
- It is nice to see that other Trump supporters are beginning to see the light as well.
- Meanwhile they will drag you on the wrong side of the market for moths and make you lose money, lot of it.
At the end of the day, you should realize that you are likely entrusting your money to someone who really does not know more about the market than you. And, that was exactly when the market began a two-month pullback. “Binve, Daneric, EWTrends, Evil Speculator, Trading to Win , and all of those other elliott wave blogs are a total joke…” Technical analysis is a skill and which may or may not lead to profitable trades since trading has many more elements to it.
Elliott Wave Stock Market Update – July 24
I’m a full time trader living in Melbourne, Australia. Due to the difference of time zone, I am actively trading currency and futures markets.
- Wave 5 is the last move of an impulsive wave, and usually develop as an impulse.
- Most ewavers saw the pattern as a bearish expanded or irregular flat which ended on Aug9.
- I don’t know about those other guys but I for one warned everyone about the strong possibility of a snap back.
- Wave A down from the May high to July low at 1010.
And maybe protecting the interests of Pension funds is enough in its own right. But otherwise I simply cannot see the logic behind this obsession, for obsession is what it seems to have become and over many years and to the cost of virtually everything else. I suspect it has much to do with the prices of bonds etc, and maybe that is the real driver and equities simply follow. But I can’t put my finger on it at the moment.
Yet, when it came to learning how to accurately analyze the financial markets, Avi had to unlearn everything he learned in economics in order to maintain on the correct side of the market the great majority of the time. In fact, once he came to the realization that economics and geopolitics fail to assist in understanding how the market works, it allowed him to view financial markets from a more accurate perspective. Of late, I have been reading articles published by money managers and I have honestly scratched my head. In fact, if you have been reading articles by them over the last 12 months, you would likely be scratching your head as well. I’m actually not sure it would matter if you did. As I’ve posted before, risking 1% of capital per trade, Neely’s up 30% with his Weekly trade recommendations over the past 4 years, while the market he trades (S&P 500) is down a little more than 10%. Well, if you’re not up 30% over the past 4 years, yes, it does.
Imagine two scenarios, one where a wave analyst in March 2009 determined that the market was going to turn up in a wave-2 and that the turn should last about a year and retrace about 61.8% of the initial decline, and then P3 would begin. Now, in the second scenario, imagine someone who also thought March 2009 was a bottom and the market was going to go up in a wave-2, but at every little reversal proclaimed that P3 was beginning. Two wave analysts with the same flawed big-picture wave count, but as a trader, I’d much rather be reading the first blogger than the second, even if neither of them runs a “trading blog” per se. Trends are posted for situational awareness only and does not take into account wave counts, technical or fundamental conditions of the market. If you like to lose money, this is a 5 star service. Great charts, but very bad in market timing, very bearish since I have signed up.
Another Short Squeeze
So, clearly, Mr. Gilburt has a detailed understanding how businesses work and are valued. Avi is an accountant and a lawyer by training. His education background includes his graduating college with dual accounting and economics majors, and he then passed all four parts of the CPA exam at once right after he graduated college. He then earned his Juris Doctorate in an advanced two and a half year program at the St. John’s School https://www.wave-accounting.net/ of Law in New York, where he graduated cumlaude, and in the top 5% of his class. He then went onto the NYU School of Law for his masters of law in taxation (LL.M.). So, now is the time you have to begin to ask yourself if your goals are truly aligned with that of your money manager. It is likely that at least one of you will not remain standing as we head into the 2030’s, and there is strong potential that you both many not.